Part 1 of a climate change series
There is a massive media industry devoted to global warming hype. It’s rightly been called The Greatest Lie Ever Told, when referring to sea level change, as there simply isn’t any evidence for it.
The first sign of any major man-made climate change would be an increase in the rate of rise of the sea level. The sea level rises 3mm a year - and has done so for the last 200 years. It shows no sign of increasing.
In fact measurements show it has been rising at that rate for at least 1,700 years.
There has been a lot of recent hysteria about sea level rises, generated by the incompetent and the uninformed, combined with poorly-constructed computer modelling. Apparently the only measurement of sea levels that shows any increase was one taken in Hong Kong harbour, later shown to be faulty. However, this was put into a computer model which then produced a result showing sea levels rising faster than the normal rate. This error was further compounded by various ‘experts’ approval of the result - shown to be a total sham as none of the people concerned knew anything about sea levels. The world’s top expert in sea levels, the Head of Climatology at MIT, said he’d never seen such rubbish palmed off as science in his life - sea levels aren’t going up any more than expected.
Sea level in Roman times
1,700 years ago it was 15 feet lower in the UK, in Roman times. This has been measured accurately by archaeological surveys such as the one in Chatham docks, on the Medway river just south-east of London. The same measurements equate with the sea level off the coast of Essex nearby, where the old Roman road called the Broomway is now just off the beach in the Maplin Sands area and awash at high tide. It was the road from London out to the old Roman fort that guarded the River Crouch estuary, sited where the Whittaker sandbank is now. The road runs straight as an arrow just off the beach, all the way out to the Whittaker, and originally was high and dry about a half mile or so inshore. Lowering the sea level by 15 feet, back to its height in Roman times, puts the road and the fort high and dry.
If you calculate back, then 3mm by 1,700 years is 5100mm or 5.1 metres. This is 16.75 feet. (The Romans were in Britain for around 400 years and left in AD 410.)
You can see that this ties in closely with this measurement. If you then add the amount that the south-east of England is sinking, caused by the spring back (’post-glacial rebound’) from the recent weight of ice on the north of the country, the figure is pretty good. Glacial coverage of the UK and northern USA during the last Ice Age ended just 10,000 years ago, which is around 5 minutes ago in geological terms.
Why have sea levels been rising for hundreds of years?
This is because we are just climbing out of the last ice age, and beginning the climb up to the temperature peak between ice ages. As the glaciers melt, the sea level rises. The glaciers are still melting and will be doing so for some time to come.
‘Ice ages’ come every 100,000 years or so and are a regular cyclical event. The last was about 20,000 years ago (and the glaciers only retreated from the UK around 10,000 years ago), and so the next will be in about another 80,000 years. It’s regular as clockwork and nothing man or machine can do will stop it - so don’t worry about the problem, you’re losing sleep over something on the scale of planets spinning or stars dying.
Nothing you or anyone else can do will stop or even influence that process in the slightest.
We have around 30,000 years to go till the inter-glacial temperature peak, when the climate will be very hot and in places a steamy tropical swamp. There will be no ice sheets covering the Arctic and Antarctic. Ice at the poles is glaciation, ie an unusual presence of ice - it will all melt away as the temperature rises toward the inter-glacial maximum.
Then, the slide down to the next ice age starts, 50,000 years or so after the peak. At the bottom of that slope, the climate is cold and 3 kilometre thick glaciers cover the earth’s surface, in the north from the pole down to London, at 51 degrees North. Now that really is something to worry about.
More CO2 needed please
Of course, as that time approaches, the cry will be, “Burn fuels! Create CO2! Heat the place up somehow, at any cost!”. At least half the earth’s population will die, for one reason or another, so it’s definitely something to think about. Certainly a lot worse than a few hot summers and an extra high tide once in a while, for sure.
Tags: climate change, global warming, ice ages, sea level rise
Whadda pile o’ bollocks